Sunday, June 27, 2010

Germany vs England in Knockout 16



Germany vs England. Interesting fixture. Totally Unpredictable. Lets do a head to head analysis based on past records.

They have met 27 times.

England won 12.
Germany Won 10.
Draw 5.

But Germany normally perform well in world cups. In world cups they have met only 4 times. England won 1
Germany won 1
Draw 2.

So based on past results it cannot be separated.

So lets go the current situation. Germany are in better form than England. But if you analyze the squads England are better.

Zone - England - Germany

Center Backs - 92 - 92
Full Backs - 92.5 - 91
Central Midfield - 93 - 90.5
Wing - 93 - 89.5
Forward - 93.5 - 92

England Attack vs German Defense

Center Forward: 93.5-92 = 1.5 England Ahead.
Attack from Flanks: 93-91=2 England Ahead.
Attack from Midfield: 93 - 90.5 = 2.5 England Ahead.

Overall England attacking is 6% better than German defense.

German Attack vs England Defense.

Center Forward: 92-92 = 0 Cancel out.
Attack From Flanks: 89.5 - 92.5 = -3 Germany behind.
Attack from Midfield: 90.5 - 93 = -2.5 Germany behind.

Overall German defense is 5.5% behind than English defense.

England have power to attack from all directions. Very powerful from left flank where Gerrard and Ashley Cole play.

Germany should play counter attacking football. They should give concentrate on defending alot and counter attack using Podolski's speed when possible. England have poor record taking penalties in shootouts and Germany have a very good record in that. So playing defensive and counter attacking football is the best plan for Germany.

So with a summery,

Form: Germany Ahead
Line Up: England Ahead
History: Tie
Penalties: Germany Ahead

Statistical Prediction
Match will be tie till 120 minutes. Germany will win in a penalty shoot.

Before closing this post I'm adding some statements made by players and also the players to watch.

"It would be a terrible mistake to underestimate them just because they had a few problems in their group. They may well raise their game for the knockout matches. We have no need to be in awe, and we certainly have no reason to fear them. We respect them of course, but we're not afraid," Lukas Podolski, Germany striker.

"I think we can go all the way this time. I've never felt it like this before in other tournaments. I thought it was an excellent performance against Slovenia and we can't wait to get to grips with Germany," Joe Cole, England midfielder.

Players to Watch

England

Wayne Rooney

Frank Lampard

Steven Gerrard

Germany

Miroslav Klose

Lukas Podolski

Bastian Schweinsteiger

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